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The garland is hung and, quite frankly, its really annoying. I love Christmas and I love all the football happening in December, but I am here on an anti-garland-on-the-mantle crusade. Every year in December, my wife hangs the garland and every night I turn on the TV and I cant see the bottom line or the scoreboard. WHY MUST WE HAVE THE GARLAND???Anyway thats my Cranky Christmas Complaint of the year. Lets get to the picks, which, frankly, you could complain about the last few weeks. I need to get better going into Christmas to afford presents for everyone, so lets get the party started this week.Picks and best bets below and make sure to listen to the Week 13 Best Bets Pick Six Podcast and .NFL Week 13 PicksDetroit (4-7) at Chicago (5-6)1 p.m. ET (FOX)This is pretty elementary to me. The are terrible and continue to wallow in their own misery. The just fired their head coach and are obviously going to bounce back this week. Also, theres a lot at stake here! The entire CBS team (individually and without consulting) picked the Bears to finish last in the division. Bears fans got mad. Real mad. If the Bears lose this game, theyre probably going to finish last. That would sting and probably result in some firings at Halas Hall. No one roots for that, of course. But you have to see how flaunting a fraudulent 5-1 record was going to burn you. If you dont, youre probably standing in a pile of lava.Projectedscore: Lions 24, Bears 17Best Bet:Lions ML (+130 or better)Which teams should you back this week with your bets, and which Super Bowl contender gets a huge scare?Visit SportsLine now to see who wins and covers every NFL game this week, plus get the exact final score, all from the acclaimed model that has returned over $7,900 on its top-rated picks.Cincinnati (2-8-1) at Miami (7-4)1 p.m. ET (CBS)How did we go from vs. Tua to vs. ?? 2020 is a hell demon and she is unstoppable. The defense is good, very good maybe, but I just dont think you can take -- *checks notes* -- Fitzpatrick as an 11.5-point favorite in any situation. Thats not an insult to Fitzpatrick, its more of a lets be realistic nod. Are the Dolphins that much different than the from last week? Eh, not sure. Better pa s defense, worse run defense, better quarterback? Im taking the double-digit points here. Projectedscore: Dolphins 21, 17Best Bet:Under 42.5New Orleans (9-2) at Atlanta (4-7)1 p.m. ET (FOX)People love to look at these games and expect big points, but I think this is a free under spot. Sean Payton is shortening games with because hes, you know, Taysom Hill. isnt playing well and hell be worse against this defense, which Brian Halums Jersey has quietly evolved into one of the five best defensive units in the league. Atlanta wasnt good on offense last week, the just turned it over. I think the Saints steal it, dont love the spread, but the under is a good bet. That 43 last week was the most fraudulent 43 you will ever see in an NFL game. New Orleans scored 31 against a practice squad wide receiver. This could be like 19-16 honestly.Projectedscore: 21, Saints 18Best Bet:Under 45.5Las Vegas (6-5) at N.Y. (0-11)1 p.m. ET (CBS)Upset special here, and I was on it before the Raiders laid that ma sive egg against Atlanta in Week 12. This line should be Jets +10 and its a comfortable win, but we have to sweat now. The Raiders want to run and you cant against right now. looks unlikely to play and has not historically been great in tough weather spots. It should be cold and windy in this one, a similar spot to the Jets win over the Raiders last year. I smell an upset.Projectedscore: Jets 17, Raiders 10Best Bet: Jets +9Jacksonville (1-10) at Minnesota (8-3)1 p.m. ET (CBS)Jacksonville is a live dog here. The have been much better the last few weeks, but basically because they let throw the ball. will run the ball plenty but this could turn into a shootout and end up with tons of points. is a good quarterback! Legit -- hes a billion times better than and thats only because hes a profe sional quarterback whos been doing this for a decade. That matters. Give me the double digits here but I would hedge with the Dalvin Cook over rushing yards props. If Dalvin hits, the Vikings probably cover and theres a nice window.Projectedscore: 35, Vikings 31Best Bet:Over 52, Dalvin Cook over prop, Jags MLCleveland (8-3) at Tenne see (8-3)1 p.m. ET (CBS)The will get back, but its SZN. Dude is running wild and I dont see a scenario where Mike Vrabel just stops leaning on him (outside of Tenne see having a big lead late). A.J. Brown is just as terrifying in the pa sing game and is currently unlikely to play in this game, which is a huge deal for Cleveland. hasnt challenged anyone down the field, but this has the feeling of a bunch of huge plays and a ton of points being scored. Id lean towards Cleveland but like the over better. Id be looking at and Henry rushing yard overs, over on catches and Brown anytime TD props here.Projectedscore: 31, Browns 28Best Bet:Henry/Chubb rush props, Brown anytime TD, overIndianapolis (7-4) at Houston (4-7)1 p.m. ET (CBS)Theres a lot of heat surrounding the right now -- theyre not dead for the playoffs, some people will tell you! -- but Im not buying it. is playing some GREAT football, no doubt about it. Even without , hes still thriving. But with now gone, he basically has to lean on and ... ? I think Indy can lock down the Texans and will unleash for a big day in this one. Watson and Cooks might have good stats at the end of things, but it should be garbage time production.Projectedscore: 34, Texans 28Best Bet:Over Jonathan Taylor rush yardsL.A. (7-4) at Arizona (6-5)4:05 p.m. ET (FOX)The Rams are my favorite bet of the week. Theyre just a bad matchup for the , a belief Ive held for several weeks now. DeAndre Hopkins is great, but can neutralize him. would be in trouble with hawking him down anyway, and now hes got a bum shoulder and wants to avoid running. Limit Kyler on the ground and you can really minimize what the Cards do on offense. I think the Rams roll here and feed their trio of talented backs. Projectedscore: Rams 27, Cardinals 14Best Bet:Rams -3, Under 46N.Y. Giants (4-7) at Seattle (8-3)4:05 p.m. ET (FOX)It is VERY easy to see that both of these teams are going to come out and try to run the ball at quality defensive lines standing acro s from them. Eventually the will start winging it around a little bit and we should see D.K. Metcalf get loose, although is not an easy matchup at all. I think the Seahawks will win, but I also think this will be an ugly slopfest for most of the game and reeks of a great under to play.Projectedscore: Seahawks 21, Giants 14Best Bet: Under 47.5Philadelphia (3-7) at Green Bay (8-3)4:25 p.m. ET (FOX)Anyone eyeing this game has to be dealing with some PTSD from Week 12, when rolled down the field and completed a mostly meaningle s Hail Mary to with just a few seconds left and then converting a somewhat shocking two-point conversion, giving him the victory ... against the spread. The same could happen here, it feels like. R.J. White mentioned a teaser on the site and on the podcast -- I kind of love it and would recommend it. I cant call it MY best bet, because its not, but Im including it below. Also go ahead and bet to score the first touchdown here. 60 percent of the time it hits every time and its like 5-1 every week.Projectedscore: Packers 28, 21Best Bet:Packers in a teaser, Davante Adams first TD (4-1 or better)New England (5-6) at L.A. (3-8)4:25 p.m. ET (CBS)This is pretty simple: the Chargers are the better team and theyre more talented, but this is Bill Belichick vs. Anthony Lynn and that makes this a no-brainer bet on the . Belichick routinely gives his team an advantage with his in-game decision making. Lynn is the Bill Belichick of Bad Decision Making. Give me the Pats and the coaching advantage. should keep smashing in the receiving game too.Projectedscore: Patriots 21, Chargers 20Best Bet: Patriots (pk), Austin Ekeler over receptions/receiving yardsDenver (4-7) at Kansas City (10-1)8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)The arent great, but they were 15-point dogs to the Saints and Taysom Hill WITHOUT A QUARTERBACK. And now they have three quarterbacks and theyre playing a worse defense and theyre basically the same underdog? Its too much. I dont want to get in the way of , but 14 points in a divisional NFL game is too high. I like the Broncos here and think the under is a pretty decent play too.Projectedscore: 24, Broncos 17Best Bet:N/AWashington (4-7) at Pittsburgh (11-0)Monday, 5 p.m. ET (FOX)The national disrespect for the is probably out of control, but theyre clearly not the best undefeated team weve ever seen this late in the season. Theyre also probably not the worst? Theyre somewhere in between -- a really good football team that finds ways to win games amid a pandemic that has made football tough in 2020. Theyre not bludgeoning average opponents, though, and Washington will hang tough here with a stout defensive line. I wouldnt expect much scoring in this one and I think Pittsburgh wins close at best.Projectedscore: Washington 14, Pittsburgh 13Best Bet:Washington +8.5Buffalo (8-3) at San Francisco (5-7)Monday, 8:20 p.m. ET (ESPN)No longer a home game for the with California kicking football out of the state. But I still like San Francisco to take care of busine s here and linger around the playoff picture with a surprising win over the . Kyle Shanahan is cooking right now and he knows Joey Lane Jersey how much this game means for the 49ers playoff hopes. Theyll turn over a few times and run the ball effectively to steal a win.Projectedscore: 49ers 24, Bills 21Best Bet:49ers +1Dallas (3-8) at Baltimore (6-5)Tuesday, 8p.m. ET (NFLN)I dont even know how to handicap this game because theres no line and we dont know about . I would lean towards the at le s than 10 because theyll run the ball, a suming Lamar plays. Check back on the podcast for an official pick.Projectedscore: TBDBest Bet: N/A

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